Global Tire Demand Map 2025-2026: India Leads 180M Unit Surge as Growth Shifts South & East

Global Tire Demand Map 2025-2026: Where Volume Is Still Surging


While North America and Europe tread water, global tire demand is shifting south and east. Analysts tracking sell-in data and import statistics pin the next wave of volume growth on a handful of countries that together are expected to add more than 180 million units to the world market between 2025 and 2026, cushioning the slowdown in mature economies.

Asia-Pacific: the twin engines

•  India – Fleet renewal, a record 7.7 % CAGR and New Delhi’s star-labelling mandate are pushing PCR and TBR demand to 325 million units in 2026, up 24 million on 2025 levels .

• China – Domestic replacement is flat, yet exports and 3.5 million extra EVs lift total demand to >620 million tires (+4.8 %) .

• Indonesia & Vietnam – Two-wheeler and e-commerce LCV fleets keep import growth above 9 %, the highest regional rate .

Latin America: the comeback kids

• Mexico – Cross-border near-shoring and a 7 % CAGR lift demand to 52 million units; anti-dumping duties spare TBR, so 22.5-inch volumes are up 18 % YoY .

• Brazil – Mining and sugar-ethanol haul roads steer TBR demand to 11 million units (+12 %) even as GDP growth slows .

Middle East & Africa: the quiet boom

• Saudi Arabia – Vision 2030 road and gig-economy van fleets push demand to 9.5 million units (+14 %); 315/80R22.5 imports jump 21 % .

• Nigeria & Kenya – Motor-cycle and three-wheeler imports raise combined demand above 18 million units for the first time .

Mature markets: replacement only
U.S. sell-in is projected flat at 340 million units as Class-8 production stays depressed, while Western Europe adds just 2 % despite an 8 % spike in imports—sell-out remains stagnant .

Bottom line
If you’re allocating 2026 capacity, aim 35 % at India, 20 % at Latin America and 15 % at GCC-East Africa; these three blocs will absorb almost all incremental global tire demand next year, with India alone contributing one in every four extra units.